Diplomatic Intelligence Brief — 10 Feb 2026

1) Executive Summary - UK flags Israeli Security Cabinet’s decision to expand control over the West Bank; diplomatic signaling likely to intensify around downstream policy implications. [10] - France condemns Iran’s 7.5-year sentencing of Nobel laureate Narges Mohammadi and calls for her release, elevating human rights pressure on Tehran. [4] - Russia’s MFA saturates the information space (BRICS, Middle East, Africa, Arab outreach); details not captured but points to coordinated Global South messaging ahead of a 12 Feb briefing. [5][6][8][9][15][16][20][22][25][21] - UK intelligence agencies deliver rare briefings to universities and political parties on foreign interference, indicating a stepped-up resilience posture. [12] - Multiple FCDO consular/travel updates across Africa, Europe, and Asia; no specific threat shifts captured. [1][2][7][13][14][17][18][19][23][24][3]

2) Key Developments (by theatre/topic) - Middle East - UK: Statement on Israeli expansion of control in the West Bank. [10] - Russia: Lavrov speech at Moscow Middle East Conference (Source not fully captured). [20] - Russia: Greetings to Pan-Arab forum on friendship with Russia (Source not fully captured). [22] - Iran / Human Rights - France: Deep concern over Narges Mohammadi’s 7.5-year sentence; call for release. [4] - Russia / BRICS / Africa - BRICS: Ryabkov participation in sherpa/sous-sherpa meeting (Source not fully captured). [5] - Africa: Lavrov meeting and talks with Tanzania FM Mahmoud Thabit Kombo (Source not fully captured). [15][16] - Messaging cadence: Lavrov interviews (NTV; TV BRICS), Diplomatic Worker’s Day remarks and video (Sources not fully captured). [6][25][8][9] - MFA briefing scheduled 12 Feb (agenda not captured). [21] - UK Domestic Resilience - MI5 and cyber services brief VCs and political parties on foreign interference. [12] - Consular/Travel - Updated FCDO advice: Guinea, Qatar, Malta, Slovenia, Cameroon, Nepal, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Thailand, South Africa; Russia medical providers list; guidance on deaths in New Zealand. [1][2][13][14][17][18][19][23][24][7][3]

3) Signals & Intent - UK (FCDO): Elevating diplomatic engagement on West Bank developments; positioning for potential coordinated responses. [10] - UK (MI5/NCSC): Moving from reactive to anticipatory counter-interference by briefing institutional leadership; socializing risk to harden systems. [12] - France: Publicly tightening human rights pressure on Tehran; staking a clear line on political prisoners. [4] - Russia MFA: Projecting diplomatic reach and South-South alignment (BRICS, Africa, Arab fora); shaping narrative ahead of the 12 Feb briefing. (Sources not fully captured). [5][6][8][9][15][16][20][22][25][21] - Tanzania: Maintaining working-level ties with Moscow; specifics not disclosed. (Source not fully captured). [15][16]

4) Watchlist (next 72 hours) - 12 Feb: Russian MFA spokeswoman briefing — monitor for lines on BRICS coordination, Middle East posture, Africa ties, and sanctions narratives. (Source not fully captured). [21] - West Bank: Track allied responses following the UK statement; watch for legal/diplomatic follow-ons or shifts in engagement. [10] - Iran: Look for Tehran’s reaction and additional European statements following France’s call for Mohammadi’s release. [4] - UK domestic: Any published guidance or attribution flowing from MI5/NCSC briefings to universities and parties. [12] - Consular posture: Any rapid updates to the listed travel advisories indicating emerging risks. [1][2][13][14][17][18][19][23][24][7][3]

5) Source Index 1) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/guinea
2) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/qatar
3) https://www.gov.uk/guidance/when-someone-dies-in-new-zealand
4) https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/country-files/iran/news/article/iran-sentencing-of-narges-mohammadi-09-02-26?xtor=RSS-1
5) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2079224/
6) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2079203/
7) https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/russia-list-of-medical-facilitiespractitioners
8) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2079105/
9) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2079026/
10) https://www.gov.uk/government/news/fcdo-statement-on-expansion-of-israeli-control-over-the-west-bank
11) https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/country-files/malaysia/events/article/malaysia-conversation-between-jean-noel-barrot-and-his-malaysian-counterpart-09?xtor=RSS-1
12) https://www.gov.uk/government/news/intelligence-agencies-provide-briefings-on-foreign-interference
13) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/malta
14) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/slovenia
15) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2079004/
16) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2078995/
17) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/cameroon
18) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/nepal
19) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/bosnia-and-herzegovina
20) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2078660/
21) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2078572/
22) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2078556/
23) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/thailand
24) https://www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/south-africa
25) http://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2078196/