I. Executive Summary

• Geopolitical Tensions and Sanctions Dynamics: The current geopolitical landscape is marked by escalating tensions between the U.S. and Russia, particularly regarding the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Recent discussions in Geneva have yielded a new U.S. peace proposal, but skepticism remains about its viability, given Russia's entrenched positions and Ukraine's insistence on sovereignty.

• Impact of AI on Global Power Structures: Russia's assertion that artificial intelligence (AI) could grant nations power comparable to nuclear capabilities underscores the strategic importance of technological supremacy. This development may influence sanctions strategies, as countries could target AI technologies to limit adversaries' capabilities.

• Venezuela's Cartel Designation: The U.S. is poised to designate the Cartel de los Soles, linked to Nicolás Maduro, as a terrorist organization. This move aims to intensify pressure on the Venezuelan regime, complicating its financial operations and potentially destabilizing its already fragile economy.

• Israeli Military Sanctions: In a significant internal shift, Israel has dismissed three generals following the 2023 Hamas attack. This decision reflects a broader reassessment of military leadership and strategy, which may have implications for Israeli defense policies and regional stability.

• South Korea's Regulatory Actions: South Korea's financial watchdog is preparing to impose sanctions on major cryptocurrency exchanges for violations related to Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) regulations. This move indicates a tightening regulatory environment in the crypto sector, which could impact global crypto markets.

• Failures of EU Sanctions on Russia: U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has acknowledged the ineffectiveness of EU sanctions against Russia, which have failed to cripple its economy. Instead, these sanctions have inadvertently caused economic strain within Europe, raising questions about the long-term strategy of sanctions as a tool of foreign policy.

• Political Shifts in Bosnia: The election of Sinisa Karan, a candidate aligned with pro-Russian sentiments, in the Republika Srpska, signals a potential shift in the political landscape of Bosnia. This development may embolden separatist movements and complicate EU integration efforts in the region.

• Oil Market Reactions: Oil prices are stabilizing as investors assess the potential for a U.S. rate cut alongside the ongoing peace discussions between Russia and Ukraine. The outcome of these talks could significantly influence global oil supply and pricing dynamics, particularly if sanctions are eased.

• Military Recruitment Challenges in Russia: Reports indicate that the Russian military is increasingly resorting to coercive measures to prevent desertions, highlighting internal pressures within the armed forces. This trend could affect Russia's military effectiveness and its ability to sustain prolonged engagements in Ukraine.

• U.S. Optimism on Peace Talks: The U.S. administration expresses optimism regarding the potential for a swift resolution to the Ukraine conflict, following constructive negotiations. However, the actual implementation of any agreement remains uncertain, given the complex interplay of interests involved.

• Continued Violence in Gaza: Recent Israeli airstrikes in Gaza have resulted in casualties, exacerbating tensions in the region. The ongoing violence complicates diplomatic efforts and may provoke further international scrutiny of Israel's military actions.

- Emerging Trends in Sanctions Enforcement: The evolving landscape of sanctions enforcement is characterized by a focus on technological and financial sectors, with nations increasingly leveraging sanctions to address geopolitical challenges. This trend necessitates a proactive approach to compliance and risk management for entities operating in affected regions. # II. Quantitative Facts

- Date of Israeli Army Sanctions: November 23, 2025 - Number of Israeli Generals Dismissed: 3 - Date of US Designation of Cartel de los Soles: November 24, 2025 - Number of EU Sanctions Rounds Against Russia: 19 - Date of US Peace Plan Negotiations: November 23-24, 2025 - Reported Casualties in Gaza from Israeli Airstrikes: At least 2 dead, several injured (as of November 24, 2025) - Oil Price Decline Last Week: Approximately 3% - Date of Venezuelan Cartel Designation Announcement: November 24, 2025 - Number of Crypto Exchanges Facing Sanctions in South Korea: 3 (Bithumb, Coinone, Korbit) - Date of Presidential Election in Republika Srpska: November 23, 2025 - Number of Dossiers Opened for Desertion in Russian Army: 8,000 - Date of AI Club Announcement by Russian Executive: November 24, 2025 - Date of US Secretary of State's Optimism on Ukraine Peace: November 24, 2025 # III. Names, Entities, and Operational Facts

• Nicolás Maduro: President of Venezuela, linked to the Cartel de los Soles, which is set to be designated as a terrorist organization by the U.S.

• Cartel de los Soles: A Venezuelan organization tied to drug trafficking and associated with the Maduro regime, facing new U.S. sanctions.

• Scott Bessent: U.S. Treasury Secretary who acknowledged the ineffectiveness of EU sanctions against Russia.

• Milorad Dodik: Former pro-Russian leader of Republika Srpska in Bosnia, whose candidate, Sinisa Karan, won the presidential election despite Dodik being barred from running.

• Sinisa Karan: Newly elected president of the Serbian entity in Bosnia, closely associated with Milorad Dodik.

• Marco Rubio: U.S. Secretary of State involved in negotiations regarding a peace plan for Ukraine.

• Hezbollah: Lebanese militant group that confirmed the death of its military chief, Haytham Ali Tabatabaï, in an Israeli airstrike.

• Bithumb, Coinone, Korbit: Major South Korean cryptocurrency exchanges facing potential sanctions for KYC/AML violations.

• Israeli Defense Forces (IDF): Conducted airstrikes in Gaza, resulting in casualties, including two reported deaths.

• Ukrainian Armed Forces: Engaged in ongoing conflict with Russian forces, with recent developments in peace negotiations.

• Russian Armed Forces: Involved in the conflict in Ukraine, facing internal issues with deserters being forcibly returned to duty.

• U.S. Department of State: Engaged in diplomatic efforts to resolve the ongoing conflict in Ukraine through proposed peace frameworks.

• European Union: Implemented multiple sanctions against Russia, which have been deemed ineffective by U.S. officials.

• WAFa: Palestinian news agency reporting on casualties from Israeli airstrikes in Gaza.